29 June 2012, Friday, 13:43
author: Galina Bakshieva
According to “conservative variant” of macroeconomic forecast growth of Bashkir economics in 2013-2015 will reach 104,6-105,6% and according to “moderate-optimistic” one – 106,3-106,6%.
The press-service of the Ministry for economic development RB reports the macroeconomic forecast of social-economic development RB was made taking the scenarios, approved by Russian Government, into account and coming from general economic conditions and tendencies, specific for Bashkortostan.
First of all the forecast is based on the forecasted dynamics of oil prices’ reduction in 2013 with further resumption of rather moderate rise of these prices by 2014-2015, growth of global economics from 3,4% in 2013 up to 4% in 2015 and, sure, on the level of efficiency of the solutions in prior tasks of general development.
Growth of investments to fixed capital will become one of the main factors of economic upsurge in the middle-term future. Thus, according to the “conservative” variant of the macroeconomic forecast the rates of growth of investments in 2013-2015 will be registered at the level of 106,1-106,7% and according to the “moderate-optimistic” one – at the level of 108,5-109,8%.
The wage fund according to “conservative” and “moderate-optimistic” scenarios will be increased by 2015 by 1,4 and 1,5 times correspondingly as compared with 2012.
The Ministry for economic development RB reports the forecast period will be characterized by lowering of inflation rates. Its growth won’t exceed 105% by 2015 according to the “conservative” forecast’s variant and 104% — according to the “moderate-optimistic” forecast.